Any one game in baseball doesn't tell you that much, just as any one poll doesn't tell you that much.
Nate SilverI prefer more to kind of show people different things than tell them 'oh, here's what you should believe' and, over time, you can build up a rapport with your audience.
Nate SilverI've become invested with this symbolic power. It really does transcend what I'm actually doing and what I actually deserve.
Nate SilverPeople don't have a good intuitive sense of how to weigh new information in light of what they already know. They tend to overrate it.
Nate Silver