When you get into statistical analysis, you don't really expect to achieve fame. Or to become an Internet meme. Or be parodied by 'The Onion' - or be the subject of a cartoon in 'The New Yorker.' I guess I'm kind of an outlier there.

We need to stop, and admit it: we have a prediction problem. We love to predict things—and we aren’t very good at it.

I know it's cheaper to fund an op-ed columnist than a team of reporters, but I think it confuses the mission of what these great journalistic brands are about.

Precise forecasts masquerade as accurate ones.

If you have reason to think that yesterday's forecast went wrong, there is no glory in sticking to it.

I view my role now as providing more of a macro-level skepticism, rather than saying this poll is good or this poll is evil.

The quest for certainty in forecasting outcomes can be the enemy of progress.