When you get into statistical analysis, you don't really expect to achieve fame. Or to become an Internet meme. Or be parodied by 'The Onion' - or be the subject of a cartoon in 'The New Yorker.' I guess I'm kind of an outlier there.

When a possibility is unfamiliar to us, we do not even think about it.

A lot of the time nothing happens in a day.

If there's a major foreign policy event, the President gets on TV, the Congress doesn't.

Voters' memories will fade some.

Distinguishing the signal from the noise requires both scientific knowledge and self-knowledge.

Almost everyone's instinct is to be overconfident and read way too much into a hot or cold streak.