A lot of things can't be modeled very well.

I have to make sure that I make good choices and that if I put my name on it, it's a high-quality endeavor and that I have time to be a human being.

Any one game in baseball doesn't tell you that much, just as any one poll doesn't tell you that much.

To the extent that you can find ways where you're making predictions, there's no substitute for testing yourself on real-world situations that you don't know the answer to in advance.

I love South American food, and I haven't really been down there. I really need a vacation.

Caesar recognized the omens, but he didn't believe they applied to him.

Distinguishing the signal from the noise requires both scientific knowledge and self-knowledge: the serenity to accept the things we cannot predict, the courage to predict the things we can, and the wisdom to know the difference.