First of all, I think it's odd that people who cover politics wouldn't have any political views.

When human judgment and big data intersect there are some funny things that happen

Almost everyone's instinct is to be overconfident and read way too much into a hot or cold streak.

Midterm elections can be dreadfully boring, unfortunately.

You can build a statistical model and that's all well and good, but if you're dealing with a new type of financial instrument, for example, or a new type of situation - then the choices you're making are pretty arbitrary in a lot of respects.

I was looking for something like baseball, where there's a lot of data and the competition was pretty low. That's when I discovered politics.

One of the pervasive risks that we face in the information age, as I wrote in the introduction, is that even if the amount of knowledge in the world is increasing, the gap between what we know and what we think we know may be widening.