The signal is the truth. The noise is what distracts us from the truth.
To my friends, I’m kind of sexually gay but ethnically straight.
First of all, I think it's odd that people who cover politics wouldn't have any political views.
You can build a statistical model and that's all well and good, but if you're dealing with a new type of financial instrument, for example, or a new type of situation - then the choices you're making are pretty arbitrary in a lot of respects.
I've just always been a bit of a dork.
We need to stop, and admit it: we have a prediction problem. We love to predict things—and we aren’t very good at it.