Every day, three times per second, we produce the equivalent of the amount of data that the Library of Congress has in it's entire print collection, right? But most of it is like cat videos on YouTube or thirteen-year-olds exchanging text messages about the next 'Twilight' movie.

We want to get 80%-85% of predictions right, not 100%. Or else we calibrated our estimates in the wrong way.

I've just always been a bit of a dork.

A lot of news is just entertainment masquerading as news.

Almost everyone's instinct is to be overconfident and read way too much into a hot or cold streak.

Shakespeare's plays often turn on the idea of fate, as much drama does. What makes them so tragic is the gap between what his characters might like to accomplish and what fate provides them.

I think a lot of journal articles should really be blogs.