The key to making a good forecast is not in limiting yourself to quantitative information.
Nate SilverThe Protestant Reformation had a lot to do with the printing press, where Martin Luther's theses were reproduced about 250,000 times. And so you had widespread dissemination of ideas that hadn't circulated in the mainstream before.
Nate SilverOn average, people should be more skeptical when they see numbers. They should be more willing to play around with the data themselves.
Nate Silver