I've become invested with this symbolic power. It really does transcend what I'm actually doing and what I actually deserve.

The key to making a good forecast is not in limiting yourself to quantitative information.

Midterm elections can be dreadfully boring, unfortunately.

A lot of things can't be modeled very well.

All I know is that I have way more stuff that I want to write about than I possibly have time to.

Plenty of pundits have really high IQs, but they don't have any discipline in how they look at the world, and so it leads to a lot of bullshit, basically.

Every four years in the presidential election, some new precedent is broken.