I have to make sure that I make good choices and that if I put my name on it, it's a high-quality endeavor and that I have time to be a human being.

If the state polls are right, then Mr. Obama will win the Electoral College. If you can't acknowledge that after a day when Mr. Obama leads 19 out of 20 swing-state polls, then you should abandon the pretense that your goal is to inform rather than entertain the public.

Not only does political coverage often lose the signal—it frequently accentuates the noise.

I've become invested with this symbolic power. It really does transcend what I'm actually doing and what I actually deserve.

Walk rate is probably the area in which a pitcher has the most room to improve, but a rate that high is tough to overcome.

If you have reason to think that yesterday's forecast went wrong, there is no glory in sticking to it.

Distinguishing the signal from the noise requires both scientific knowledge and self-knowledge: the serenity to accept the things we cannot predict, the courage to predict the things we can, and the wisdom to know the difference.