If people do not know what is going to make them better off or give them pleasure, then the idea that you can trust people to do what will give them pleasure becomes questionable.
Daniel KahnemanMost successful pundits are selected for being opinionated, because it's interesting, and the penalties for incorrect predictions are negligible. You can make predictions, and a year later people won't remember them.
Daniel KahnemanMost of the time, we think fast. And most of the time we're really expert at what we're doing, and most of the time, what we do is right.
Daniel Kahneman