That's one of the real dangers of leader selection in many organizations: leaders are selected for overconfidence.
Daniel KahnemanThe effort invested in 'getting it right' should be commensurate with the importance of the decision.
Daniel KahnemanWe are far too willing to reject the belief that much of what we see in life is random.
Daniel KahnemanPeople like leaders who look like they are dominant, optimistic, friendly to their friends, and quick on the trigger when it comes to enemies. They like boldness and despise the appearance of timidity and protracted doubt.
Daniel Kahneman