To know whether you can trust a particular intuitive judgment, there are two questions you should ask: Is the environment in which the judgment is made sufficiently regular to enable predictions from the available evidence? The answer is yes for diagnosticians, no for stock pickers. Do the professionals have an adequate opportunity to learn the cues and the regularities? The answer here depends on the professionals' experience and on the quality and speed with which they discover their mistakes.
Daniel KahnemanBanks are run by executives, and executives protect themselves, and that does not always mean that banks are going to behave rationally.
Daniel KahnemanThe effort invested in 'getting it right' should be commensurate with the importance of the decision.
Daniel Kahneman