The confidence that individuals have in their beliefs depends mostly on the quality of the story they can tell about what they see, even if they see little.

I'm not a great believer in self-help.

People are really happier with friends than they are with their families or their spouse or their child.

You should expect little or nothing from Wall Street stock pickers who hope to be more accurate than the market in predicting the future of prices. And you should not expect much from pundits making long-term forecasts.

Mind is a machine for jumping to conclusions

It doesn't take many observations to think you've spotted a trend, and it's probably not a trend at all.

When people think of the outcomes of their decisions, they think much more short term than that. They think in terms of gains and losses.