Our comforting conviction that the world makes sense rests on a secure foundation: our almost unlimited ability to ignore our ignorance.
Daniel KahnemanWe have no reason to expect the quality of intuition to improve with the importance of the problem. Perhaps the contrary: high-stake problems are likely to involve powerful emotions and strong impulses to action.
Daniel KahnemanQuestion: So investors shouldn't delude themselves about beating the market? Answer: "They're just not going to do it. It's just not going to happen."
Daniel Kahneman