When action is needed, optimism, even of the mildly delusional variety, may be a good thing.

There are some conditions where you have to trust your intuition.

Ten minutes of a smartphone in front of your nose is about the equivalent of an hour long walk in bright daylight. Imagine going for an hour long walk in bright daylight and then thinking, "Now I'll get some sleep." It ain't going to happen.

An individual who expresses high confidence probably has a good story, which may or may not be true.

I don't try to be clever at all. The idea that I could see what no one else can is an illusion.

By their very nature, heuristic shortcuts will produce biases, and that is true for both humans and artificial intelligence, but the heuristics of AI are not necessarily the human ones.

There's a very good reason for why economics developed the way it did, and that is that in many situations, the assumption that people will exploit the opportunities available to them is very plausible, and it simplifies the analysis of how markets will behave.