The illusion of skill is not only an individual aberration; it is deeply ingrained in the culture of the [investment management] industry.
Daniel KahnemanPeople have little idea, by and large, of the investment world. They are convinced they have an advantage.
Daniel KahnemanOverconfidence is a powerful source of illusions, primarily determined by the quality and coherence of the story that you can construct, not by its validity.
Daniel KahnemanIf you care about being thought credible and intelligent, do not use complex language where simpler language will do.
Daniel Kahneman