Alternative descriptions of the same reality evoke different emotions and different associations.

When action is needed, optimism, even of the mildly delusional variety, may be a good thing.

By their very nature, heuristic shortcuts will produce biases, and that is true for both humans and artificial intelligence, but the heuristics of AI are not necessarily the human ones.

Knowing the importance of luck, you should be particularly suspicious when highly consistent patterns emerge from the comparison of successful and less successful firms. In the presence of randomness, regular patterns can only be mirages.

Survival prospects are poor for an animal that is not suspicious of novelty.

In essence, the optimistic style involves taking credit for successes but little blame for failures.

Mental effort, I would argue, is relatively rare. Most of the time we coast.