I think people feel like there are all these things in our lives that we don't really have control over.

Race is still the No. 1 determinant in every election.

The problem is that when polls are wrong, they tend to be wrong in the same direction. If they miss in New Hampshire, for instance, they all miss on the same mistake.

The thing that people associate with expertise, authoritativeness, kind of with a capital 'A,' don't correlate very well with who's actually good at making predictions.

You don't want to influence the same system you are trying to forecast.

I don't play fantasy baseball anymore now because it's too much work, and I feel like I have to hold myself up to such a high standard. I'm pretty serious about my fantasy football, though.

I love South American food, and I haven't really been down there. I really need a vacation.