Basically, books were a luxury item before the printing press.
I think people feel like there are all these things in our lives that we don't really have control over.
Plenty of pundits have really high IQs, but they don't have any discipline in how they look at the world, and so it leads to a lot of bullshit, basically.
A lot of things can't be modeled very well.
The quest for certainty in forecasting outcomes can be the enemy of progress.
If you have reason to think that yesterday's forecast went wrong, there is no glory in sticking to it.