I think there's space in the market for a half-dozen kind of polling analysts.

Finding patterns is easy in any kind of data-rich environment; that's what mediocre gamblers do. The key is in determining whether the patterns represent signal or noise

One of the pervasive risks that we face in the information age, as I wrote in the introduction, is that even if the amount of knowledge in the world is increasing, the gap between what we know and what we think we know may be widening.

Racism is predictable. It's predicted by interaction or lack thereof with people unlike you, people of other races.

People have different ways of interpreting history.

Basically, books were a luxury item before the printing press.

You can build a statistical model and that's all well and good, but if you're dealing with a new type of financial instrument, for example, or a new type of situation - then the choices you're making are pretty arbitrary in a lot of respects.