I think there's space in the market for a half-dozen kind of polling analysts.

Distinguishing the signal from the noise requires both scientific knowledge and self-knowledge.

If you aren't taking a representative sample, you won't get a representative snapshot.

To my friends, I’m kind of sexually gay but ethnically straight.

The quest for certainty in forecasting outcomes can be the enemy of progress.

You can build a statistical model and that's all well and good, but if you're dealing with a new type of financial instrument, for example, or a new type of situation - then the choices you're making are pretty arbitrary in a lot of respects.

I don't think that somebody who is observing or predicting behavior should also be participating in the 'experiment.'