I've just always been a bit of a dork.
A lot of things can't be modeled very well.
Plenty of pundits have really high IQs, but they don't have any discipline in how they look at the world, and so it leads to a lot of bullshit, basically.
When human judgment and big data intersect there are some funny things that happen
I don't think that somebody who is observing or predicting behavior should also be participating in the 'experiment.'
Voters' memories will fade some.