Voters' memories will fade some.

When you get into statistical analysis, you don't really expect to achieve fame. Or to become an Internet meme. Or be parodied by 'The Onion' - or be the subject of a cartoon in 'The New Yorker.' I guess I'm kind of an outlier there.

Whenever you have dynamic interactions between 300 million people and the American economy acting in really complex ways, that introduces a degree of almost chaos theory to the system, in a literal sense.

By playing games you can artificially speed up your learning curve to develop the right kind of thought processes.

People still don't appreciate how ephemeral success is.

I think punditry serves no purpose.

We want to get 80%-85% of predictions right, not 100%. Or else we calibrated our estimates in the wrong way.