Basically, books were a luxury item before the printing press.
When a possibility is unfamiliar to us, we do not even think about it.
Every four years in the presidential election, some new precedent is broken.
You don't want to influence the same system you are trying to forecast.
If there's a major foreign policy event, the President gets on TV, the Congress doesn't.
Data-driven predictions can succeed-and they can fail. It is when we deny our role in the process that the odds of failure rise. Before we demand more of our data, we need to demand more of ourselves.