The Protestant Reformation had a lot to do with the printing press, where Martin Luther's theses were reproduced about 250,000 times. And so you had widespread dissemination of ideas that hadn't circulated in the mainstream before.

Every four years in the presidential election, some new precedent is broken.

I have to think about how to not spread myself too thin. It's a really great problem to have.

I think punditry serves no purpose.

Precise forecasts masquerade as accurate ones.

I actually buy the paper version of The New York Times maybe once or twice a week.

Finding patterns is easy in any kind of data-rich environment; that's what mediocre gamblers do. The key is in determining whether the patterns represent signal or noise