The Protestant Reformation had a lot to do with the printing press, where Martin Luther's theses were reproduced about 250,000 times. And so you had widespread dissemination of ideas that hadn't circulated in the mainstream before.

Any one game in baseball doesn't tell you that much, just as any one poll doesn't tell you that much.

I think punditry serves no purpose.

You don't want to influence the same system you are trying to forecast.

Economy is not baseball, where the game is always played by the same rules.

I was looking for something like baseball, where there's a lot of data and the competition was pretty low. That's when I discovered politics.

It's a little strange to become a kind of symbol of a whole type of analysis.