You don't want to treat any one person as oracular.
Distinguishing the signal from the noise requires both scientific knowledge and self-knowledge.
To the extent that you can find ways where you're making predictions, there's no substitute for testing yourself on real-world situations that you don't know the answer to in advance.
Accountability doesn't mean apologizing.
I guess I don't like the people in politics very much, to be blunt.
I view my role now as providing more of a macro-level skepticism, rather than saying this poll is good or this poll is evil.