Success makes you less intimidated by things.

On average, people should be more skeptical when they see numbers. They should be more willing to play around with the data themselves.

Data-driven predictions can succeed-and they can fail. It is when we deny our role in the process that the odds of failure rise. Before we demand more of our data, we need to demand more of ourselves.

The public is even more pessimistic about the economy than even the most bearish economists are.

Economy is not baseball, where the game is always played by the same rules.

We need to stop, and admit it: we have a prediction problem. We love to predict things—and we aren’t very good at it.

We look at all the polls, not just the Gallup Poll. So, it's kind of like if you have, you know, four out of five doctors agree that reducing cholesterol reduces your risk of a heart attack, Gallup is like the fifth doctor.