People gravitate toward information that implies a happier outlook for them.

Distinguishing the signal from the noise requires both scientific knowledge and self-knowledge.

By playing games you can artificially speed up your learning curve to develop the right kind of thought processes.

The key to making a good forecast is not in limiting yourself to quantitative information.

People still don't appreciate how ephemeral success is.

Walk rate is probably the area in which a pitcher has the most room to improve, but a rate that high is tough to overcome.

You don't want to influence the same system you are trying to forecast.