People gravitate toward information that implies a happier outlook for them.

Race is still the No. 1 determinant in every election.

We want to get 80%-85% of predictions right, not 100%. Or else we calibrated our estimates in the wrong way.

By playing games you can artificially speed up your learning curve to develop the right kind of thought processes.

You can build a statistical model and that's all well and good, but if you're dealing with a new type of financial instrument, for example, or a new type of situation - then the choices you're making are pretty arbitrary in a lot of respects.

When you get into statistical analysis, you don't really expect to achieve fame. Or to become an Internet meme. Or be parodied by 'The Onion' - or be the subject of a cartoon in 'The New Yorker.' I guess I'm kind of an outlier there.

I think punditry serves no purpose.