Not only does political coverage often lose the signal—it frequently accentuates the noise.

New ideas are sometimes found in the most granular details of a problem where few others bother to look.

Midterm elections can be dreadfully boring, unfortunately.

In politics people build whole reputations off of getting one thing right.

To be a very, very minor, eighth-tier celebrity, you realize, 'Hey, celebrities are just like us.'

Plenty of pundits have really high IQs, but they don't have any discipline in how they look at the world, and so it leads to a lot of bullshit, basically.

Distinguishing the signal from the noise requires both scientific knowledge and self-knowledge: the serenity to accept the things we cannot predict, the courage to predict the things we can, and the wisdom to know the difference.