In politics people build whole reputations off of getting one thing right.
People don't have a good intuitive sense of how to weigh new information in light of what they already know. They tend to overrate it.
Data scientist is just a sexed up word for statistician.
I think a lot of journal articles should really be blogs.
You don't want to treat any one person as oracular.
We want to get 80%-85% of predictions right, not 100%. Or else we calibrated our estimates in the wrong way.