Political columnists and sports pundits are rewarded for being overconfident.

People tend to assess the relative importance of issues by the ease with which they are retrieved from memory—and this is largely determined by the extent of coverage in the media. Frequently mentioned topics populate the mind even as others slip away from awareness. In turn, what the media choose to report corresponds to their view of what is currently on the public’s mind. It is no accident that authoritarian regimes exert substantial pressure on independent media. Because public interest is most easily aroused by dramatic events and by celebrities, media feeding frenzies are common

It's not a case of: 'Read this book and then you'll think differently. I've written this book, and I don't think differently.

We know that the French are very different from the Americans in their satisfaction with life. They're much less satisfied. Americans are pretty high up there, while the French are quite low - the world champions in life satisfaction are actually the Danes.

You should not take your intuitions at face value.

The evidence is unequivocal, there's a great deal more luck than skill in people getting very rich.

There are some conditions where you have to trust your intuition.