People who face a difficult question often answer an easier one instead, without realizing it.

The effort invested in 'getting it right' should be commensurate with the importance of the decision.

Human beings cannot comprehend very large or very small numbers. It would be useful for us to acknowledge that fact.

That's one of the real dangers of leader selection in many organizations: leaders are selected for overconfidence.

An individual who expresses high confidence probably has a good story, which may or may not be true.

If you're going to be unreligious, it's likely going to be due to reflecting on it and finding some things that are hard to believe.

One of the problems with expertise is that people have it in some domains and not in others.