I have to make sure that I make good choices and that if I put my name on it, it's a high-quality endeavor and that I have time to be a human being.
There's always the risk that there are unknown unknowns.
I think a lot of journal articles should really be blogs.
It's a little strange to become a kind of symbol of a whole type of analysis.
We want to get 80%-85% of predictions right, not 100%. Or else we calibrated our estimates in the wrong way.
The signal is the truth. The noise is what distracts us from the truth.