We're not that much smarter than we used to be, even though we have much more information - and that means the real skill now is learning how to pick out the useful information from all this noise.

We look at all the polls, not just the Gallup Poll. So, it's kind of like if you have, you know, four out of five doctors agree that reducing cholesterol reduces your risk of a heart attack, Gallup is like the fifth doctor.

Plenty of pundits have really high IQs, but they don't have any discipline in how they look at the world, and so it leads to a lot of bullshit, basically.

To my friends, I’m kind of sexually gay but ethnically straight.

I love South American food, and I haven't really been down there. I really need a vacation.

By playing games you can artificially speed up your learning curve to develop the right kind of thought processes.

Precise forecasts masquerade as accurate ones.