Courage is willingness to take the risk once you know the odds. Optimistic overconfidence means you are taking the risk because you don't know the odds. It's a big difference.
Daniel KahnemanEconomists think about what people ought to do. Psychologists watch what they actually do.
Daniel KahnemanWe are far too willing to reject the belief that much of what we see in life is random.
Daniel KahnemanPeople who face a difficult question often answer an easier one instead, without realizing it.
Daniel KahnemanDoubting what you see is a very odd experience. And doubting what you remember is a little less odd than doubting what you see. But it's also a pretty odd experience, because some memories come with a very compelling sense of truth about them, and that happens to be the case even for memories that are not true.
Daniel Kahneman