Hard work will get you a professorship or a BMW. You need both work and luck for a Booker, a Nobel or a private jet.
Nassim Nicholas TalebThe fastest way to become rich is to socialize with the poor; the fastest way to become poor is to socialize with the rich.
Nassim Nicholas TalebThe only valid political system is one that can handle an imbecile in power without suffering from it
Nassim Nicholas TalebAntifragility is beyond resilience or robustness. The resilient resists shocks and stays the same; the antifragile gets better.
Nassim Nicholas TalebThe classical man's worst fear was inglorious death; the modern man's worst fear is just death
Nassim Nicholas TalebTo be completely cured of newspapers, spend a year reading the previous week's newspapers.
Nassim Nicholas TalebWe have this culture of financialization. People think they need to make money with their savings rather with their own business. So you end up with dentists who are more traders than dentists. A dentist should drill teeth and use whatever he does in the stock market for entertainment.
Nassim Nicholas TalebA mistake is not something to be determined after the fact, but in the light of the information until that point.
Nassim Nicholas TalebThe rationalist imagines an imbecile-free society; the empiricist and imbecile-proof one, or even better, a rationalist-proof one.
Nassim Nicholas TalebThe psychologist Gerd Gigerenzer has a simple heuristic. Never ask the doctor what you should do. Ask him what he would do if he were in your place. You would be surprised at the difference
Nassim Nicholas TalebFor many people, commuting is the worst part of the day, and policies that can make commuting shorter and more convenient would be a straightforward way to reduce minor but widespread suffering.
Nassim Nicholas TalebAnother definition of modernity: conversations can be more and more completely reconstructed with clips from other conversations taking place at the same time on the planet.
Nassim Nicholas TalebScientists may be in the business of laughing at their predecessors, but owing to an array of human mental dispositions, few realize that someone will laugh at their beliefs in the (disappointingly near) future.
Nassim Nicholas TalebI want them poor and they deserve to be poor. You can't have capitalism without punishment.
Nassim Nicholas TalebThe best philosophers were not academics, but had another job, so their philosophy was not corrupted by careerism.
Nassim Nicholas TalebForecasting by bureaucrats tends to be used for anxiety relief rather than for adequate policy making.
Nassim Nicholas TalebWhen you beat up someone physically, you get excercise and stress relief; when you assault him verbally on the Internet, you just harm yourself.
Nassim Nicholas Talebtrue humility is when you can surprise yourself more than others; the rest is either shyness or good marketing
Nassim Nicholas TalebWhen you ask people, 'What's the opposite of fragile?,' they tend to say robust, resilient, adaptable, solid, strong. That's not it. The opposite of fragile is something that gains from disorder.
Nassim Nicholas TalebEducation makes the wise slightly wiser, but it makes the fool vastly more dangerous.
Nassim Nicholas TalebYou will be civilized on the day you can spend a long period doing nothing, learning nothing, and improving nothing, without feeling the slightest amount of guilt.
Nassim Nicholas TalebThose who were unlucky in life in spite of their skills would eventually rise. The lucky fool might have benefited from some luck in life; over the longer run he would slowly converge to the state of a less-lucky idiot. Each one would revert to his long-term properties.
Nassim Nicholas TalebEvery social association that is not face-to-face is injurious to your health.
Nassim Nicholas TalebNever ask a trader if he is profitable: you can easily see it in his gesture and gait.
Nassim Nicholas TalebHeroes are heroes because they are heroic in behavior, not because they won or lost.
Nassim Nicholas TalebScepticism is effortful and costly. It is better to be sceptical about matters of large consequences, and be imperfect, foolish and human in the small and the aesthetic.
Nassim Nicholas TalebLife is a tightrope between two errors: generalizing the wrong particular and particularizing the wrong general.
Nassim Nicholas TalebBut they never notice the following inconsistency: this so-called worst-case event, when it happened, exceeded the worst case at the time.
Nassim Nicholas TalebAt no point in history have so many non-risk-takers, that is, those with no personal exposure, exerted so much control.
Nassim Nicholas TalebIt does not matter how frequently something succeeds if failure is too costly to bear.
Nassim Nicholas TalebIf you let markets - in general, my belief is that if you let markets give you information, they'll give you the information rather than artificially prop up everything.
Nassim Nicholas TalebIs the economy something organic or is it something engineered? I think it's closer to the organic. You harm it by artificially suppressing volatility in it.
Nassim Nicholas TalebMy biggest problem with modernity may lie in the growing separation of the ethical and the legal
Nassim Nicholas TalebA system, artificially stabilized, and of course you have hidden risks under the surface, and you don't know where the risks are.
Nassim Nicholas TalebWhen we want to do something while unconsciously certain to fail, we seek advice so we can blame someone else for the failure.
Nassim Nicholas TalebWe should probably stop trading derivatives, anything more complex than regular options ... I am an options trader, and I don't understand options. How do you want a regulator to understand them?
Nassim Nicholas TalebThose who do not think that employment is systemic slavery are either blind or employed.
Nassim Nicholas TalebNever ask anyone for their opinion, forecast, or recommendation. Just ask them what they haveโor donโt haveโin their portfolio.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb